Polymarket100+markets │ KalshiCFTCregulated │ Manifoldopenforecasting │ Metaculusexpertconsensus │ Pump.funlivelaunches │ Heliuswhaletracking │ Odds API80+sportsbooks │ ClaudeSonnet 4.7+ Haiku 4.5 │ Polymarket100+markets │ KalshiCFTCregulated │ Manifoldopenforecasting │ Metaculusexpertconsensus │ Pump.funlivelaunches │ Heliuswhaletracking │ Odds API80+sportsbooks │ ClaudeSonnet 4.7+ Haiku 4.5 │
Powered by Claude Sonnet 4.7
Pre-release · v0.9 · 2026

The trading
terminal that
thinks out loud.

Parlay watches prediction markets, Solana memecoins, and sports books simultaneously — then shows you exactly why each opportunity is worth taking or skipping. Real data. Full reasoning. No black-box recommendations. Whether you're learning your first trade or hunting arb windows, the edge is in the analysis.

Start free → Preview the terminal
✓ Free terminal walkthrough ✓ No credit card required ✓ Cancel anytime
§ 00 — Who Parlay is for

Built for every kind of
market participant.

Whether you've never placed a trade or you're already making plays on Polymarket — Parlay has a specific reason to exist for you.

Complete beginners
You've heard about prediction markets, crypto, or sports arbitrage but have no idea where to start. Parlay's Academy walks you through every concept from zero — no jargon, no assumed knowledge. You practice on real historical markets before risking a cent.
Start with Academy · $19/mo
Retail traders wanting an edge
You're already trading but spending hours researching manually. Parlay pulls live data from 12 sources, runs it through Claude, and surfaces the edge in seconds — not hours. You make the call. Parlay does the grunt work.
Start with Pro · $99/mo
Crypto degens tired of rugs
You're active in Solana memecoins. You've been rugged. Parlay's 12-factor scanner checks LP lock status, mint authority, wallet concentration, and wash trading signals before you buy — in under a second.
Rug scanner · Free tier
Sports bettors chasing guaranteed profit
Arbitrage isn't gambling. When two sportsbooks disagree enough, you can bet both sides for a guaranteed profit regardless of the outcome. Parlay finds these windows across 80+ books and sizes both legs for you automatically.
Arb scanner · Pro tier
Prediction market forecasters
You trade on Polymarket or Kalshi and want to stop guessing. Parlay cross-references your market against Fed futures, FRED data, Wikipedia context, Reddit sentiment, and historical resolutions before giving you a probability estimate.
Markets analysis · Pro tier
People who want to think better
Not interested in trading at all — just want to be more calibrated about the future. The Academy and Scenarios teach probability, base rates, and decision-making skills that apply far beyond markets. Brier scoring shows you how good your judgment actually is.
Academy Pro · $39/mo
§ 01 — What Parlay is watching

Proof on the page.
Real numbers, not a mock.

Parlay is wired into a dozen live data sources. Each analysis pulls order-book depth, on-chain state, sentiment signals, and historical base rates before Claude reasons about it. This is not a dashboard with a chatbot bolted on.

500+
Live prediction markets
80+
Sportsbooks monitored
12
Data sources per analysis
<2s
Avg AI analysis time
Prediction Markets live
500+
Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · Metaculus · Auto-polled every 30s
Solana Tokens live
10K+
Rug-scored via 12-factor security analysis · Helius-powered
Pump.fun Pools live
fresh
Tracked from the first minute · buyer concentration + LP status
Sportsbooks
80+
NFL · NBA · MLB · EPL · MMA · Golf · Cross-book arb detection
§ 02 — Three disciplines, one terminal

Built for people who respect the numbers.

Most "AI trading tools" are wrappers on ChatGPT with no live data. Parlay integrates directly with the venues you trade on, reads the same data institutional desks read, and always shows its reasoning chain.

01
Prediction Markets

Find the mispricing, size the bet.

Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Metaculus feed a unified scanner that surfaces markets where crowd probability diverges from base rates, news flow, or expert consensus.

  • Cross-platform arbitrage detection
  • Wikipedia, FRED, Congress, FDA data injected into analysis
  • Kelly criterion position sizing per recommendation
  • Deep-link to the venue, pre-filled side and stake
  • 5-minute crypto markets, political, pop culture, sports
02
Crypto Intelligence

See the rug before it pulls.

Solana's memecoin market is 80% exit liquidity. The rug scanner combines RugCheck, on-chain holder analysis, LP lock verification, and AI sentiment into a single 0–100 risk score.

  • 12-factor security audit in under a second
  • Pump.fun feed, sortable by buyers and volume velocity
  • Candlestick pattern recognition with liquidity caveats
  • Whale wallet tracking via Helius (view-only, no custody)
  • Jupiter deep-links for execution in your own wallet
03
Sports Arbitrage

The math is clean. Take the free money.

80+ global sportsbooks. When implied probabilities sum to less than one, there is guaranteed profit. Parlay sizes both legs for you.

  • Arb scanner across NFL, NBA, MLB, EPL, NHL, MMA
  • Exact stake sizing for your target profit
  • AI-assisted educated bets using form + injury data
  • Direct links to each book at the best price
  • Region-aware — only shows books available to you
§ 02b — How Parlay compares

The honest comparison
nobody else publishes.

Most tools refuse to tell you where they fall short. Here's an honest look at how Parlay stacks up against the alternatives you're probably already using.

What Parlay is good at
Pulling live data from 12 sources simultaneously. Showing every step of its reasoning. Finding cross-market mispricings a human would miss in 5 minutes of research. Spotting on-chain rug signals before they trigger. Finding guaranteed arb windows across 80+ sportsbooks. Teaching you to think in probabilities through interactive historical scenarios.
What Parlay won't do
Guarantee returns — nobody can. Place trades on your behalf. Tell you to "just trust the AI." Give you a signal without showing the math behind it. Most retail traders lose money regardless of the tools they use. Parlay makes you a better decision-maker — it doesn't make decisions for you.
Feature ChatGPT / Claude Parlay Polymarket direct Generic alert bots
Live market dataReal-time prices, volume, order book
 ✕ ✓ ✓ Partial
Reasoning chain shownWhy it recommends what it does
 Sometimes Always ✕ ✕
Cross-platform arbitrageFinds guaranteed profit windows
 ✕ ✓ ✕ Some bots
Solana rug detectionOn-chain security audit
 ✕ ✓ ✕ Partial
Structured educationLessons + scored practice scenarios
 Ad hoc ✓ ✕ ✕
Kelly sizing calculatorOptimal stake for your edge
 If you ask Built in ✕ ✕
Tells you to skipHonest about when edge is zero
 Rarely Always ✕ ✕
PriceMonthly cost
 $20/mo Free → $19 → $99 Free Varies
§ 03 — How the AI actually reads the market

Not a chatbot.
An analyst.

Every recommendation shows its reasoning chain: which sources it pulled from, what the key signals were, how it arrived at the verdict, and the suggested position size. You never have to trust the conclusion blindly.

Polymarket · Politics Claude Sonnet 4.7 · 1.2s
Will the Fed cut rates by 50bps in November?
Price
NO: 38¢
Edge
+14%
Confidence
HIGH
Kelly size
4% bank
Buy NO
Market is pricing a 62% chance of a 50bps cut. Fed funds futures imply 41%. Powell's last three statements emphasized "data-dependent" and "gradual" — institutional language that historically precedes 25bps, not 50. CPI print due Nov 14 is the gating event. At 38¢ with ~55% true probability, this is a textbook mispricing.
Reasoning chain
Fed funds futures as direct market signal — more informative than prediction-market crowd
Powell language analysis: base-rate frequency of "gradual" preceding 25bps decisions
Historical FOMC precedent for 50bps moves (non-crisis: rare)
Calculated fair value 55%, applied Kelly at 4% of bankroll for +14% edge
FRED Polymarket orderbook CME FedWatch FOMC minutes
Solana · Memecoin Claude Sonnet 4.7 · 0.9s
$SLURP — launched 2h ago, MCap $340k
Price
$0.00034
Risk score
87/100
Confidence
HIGH
Action
AVOID
Danger · Do not buy
Top 5 wallets hold 61% of supply. Mint authority still active (dev can print unlimited tokens). LP only 14% burned, 86% removable at any moment. Classic rug setup. Volume looks organic but 22 of the top 50 buyers trade from the same cluster — suspected wash trading. Walk away.
Reasoning chain
Wallet concentration analysis via Helius: top-5 holder ratio flags exit liquidity
Mint authority on-chain check: still active = unbounded supply risk
LP burn verification: 86% still withdrawable by LP owner
Graph clustering on top buyers: 44% share wallet origins — wash trading suspected
Helius RPC RugCheck API DexScreener On-chain graph
§ 04 — Academy

Learn the craft.
Not just the tool.

Thirty lessons built for people who actually want to get better. Per-market tracks. Interactive scenarios with real historical market data. You practice making calls on paused markets, then see what actually happened.

Browse Academy → Try a scenario
New to trading?
Start with the Free tier — interactive terminal walkthrough, community chatroom, and 3 preview lessons. No credit card. Upgrade when you're ready for AI analysis.
Start free, no card →
Track 01
Prediction markets, from zero
8 lessons · 60 min
Track 02
Reading order-book depth
5 lessons · 40 min
Track 03
Kelly sizing without the maths
4 lessons · 25 min
Track 04
Solana rug anatomy
6 lessons · 45 min
Track 05
Candlestick patterns that work
7 lessons · 55 min
Track 06
Sports arbitrage fundamentals
5 lessons · 35 min
Track 07
Base rates vs vibes
4 lessons · 30 min
Track 08
When to skip — and why
3 lessons · 20 min
Recommended path for new traders
Step 01
Sign up free
No card needed. Take the terminal walkthrough, join the chatroom, preview 3 Academy lessons.
Day 1 · 15 min
Step 02
Work through Academy
Complete the Prediction Markets track first. Eight lessons, about 60 minutes. Real concepts, no fluff.
Days 2–5 · 60 min
Step 03
Try live scenarios
Practice on paused historical markets. Make your call. See what actually happened. Get a calibration score.
Week 2 · 20 min/day
Step 04
Trade with AI guidance
Upgrade to Pro. Run your first real analyses. Start small. Use Kelly sizing. Track your dry trades first.
Week 3 onwards
Live scenario · sample Academy interactive
Chiefs vs Bills · Sept 2024

You're paused at halftime. KC trailing 14-7. Injury reports live. Polymarket shows Bills ML at 62¢. Do you buy, fade, or skip?

Your call:
Bills implied win-rate at half: 62%
Second-half home comeback base rate: 38%
Mahomes home-game comeback frequency (n=23): 52%
Buy NO at 38¢ Buy YES at 62¢ Skip — too noisy
§ 04b — The Qualification Challenge

Prove your edge.
Earn Pro free.

Academy Pro includes a structured qualification test. Pass it — hit the calibration and discipline thresholds across a set of live scenarios — and you earn a free month of Pro. No strings. No coupon code. Just proof you can read a market.

Step 01
Subscribe to Academy Pro
$39/month gets you the full 30-lesson curriculum, all 12 interactive scenarios, unlimited rug scanning, and access to the qualification test. Everything you need to build a real edge.
Step 02
Pass the Qualification Test
Work through a curated set of real historical scenarios. Your calibration score, edge score, and discipline score are tracked by Brier scoring — the same method serious forecasters use. Hit the thresholds and you qualify.
Calibration ≥ 75
Edge ≥ 65
Discipline ≥ 70
Step 03
Get a Free Month of Pro
Qualify and we'll credit your account with a full month of Pro ($99 value) — automatically, no application required. Use it to trade with the full Pro toolset and decide if the upgrade makes sense for you.
$99 Pro credit · applied automatically
What the test actually measures
Calibration — when you say 70%, does the outcome happen about 70% of the time? Brier-scored against real historical resolutions.
Edge — are your directional calls (YES/NO) more right than wrong across different market types?
Discipline — do you correctly identify no-edge situations and skip them, rather than gambling on every market?
Why we built this
Most trading education ends with a certificate nobody cares about. The Qualification Challenge ends with a month of Pro tools and a calibration score you can actually use to evaluate your own decision-making. If you don't qualify on the first attempt, you can retake it. Most users who work through the full Academy curriculum qualify within their first two attempts.
Start Academy Pro — $39/mo →
Cancel anytime · Qualification attempt included · Pro credit applied automatically on passing
§ 05 — Where the data comes from

Sources, not guesses.

Each AI analysis cites which integrations it pulled context from. Every source listed here is a real, production integration — not a roadmap item.

Prediction
Polymarket
Live order books, volume, resolution data
Prediction
Kalshi
CFTC-regulated markets, real money
Prediction
Manifold
Play-money forecasting, public API
Prediction
Metaculus
Expert community forecasts
Crypto
Helius
Solana RPC, whale tracking, pool data
Crypto
CoinGecko Pro
Prices, volume, trending across 10K+ coins
Crypto
DexScreener
DEX liquidity, LP status, pool age
Crypto
RugCheck
Token security scoring
Sports
The Odds API
80+ global sportsbooks, live lines
Macro
FRED
Federal Reserve economic indicators
Macro
Wikipedia
Entity context for every market
AI
Anthropic Claude
Sonnet 4.7 analysis, Haiku 4.5 scans
§ 06 — Pricing

Pay for the edge.
Not the hype.

Free gets you started. Academy Pro includes the Qualification Challenge — pass it and earn a free month of Pro. All plans include all markets and all scanners.

Free
$0
forever · no card
Explore the terminal, take the walkthrough, join the community. Upgrade whenever you want AI analysis.
  • Live market data (read-only)
  • Interactive terminal walkthrough
  • Community chatroom access
  • 3 Academy lessons preview
  • Watch resolved scenarios
  • No AI analyses
Start free
Academy
$19
per month · USD
For those learning the craft. Full 30-lesson curriculum, interactive scenarios, daily AI practice.
  • 15 AI analyses per day
  • Full 30-lesson Academy
  • Interactive trading scenarios
  • Per-market lesson tracks
  • Rug scanner unlimited
  • Dry-trade tracking
Start Academy
Earn Pro free
Academy Pro
$39
per month · USD
Everything in Academy plus the Qualification Challenge. Pass it and get a free month of Pro — automatically.
  • 30 AI analyses per day
  • Everything in Academy
  • Qualification Challenge access
  • Free Pro month on passing
  • Calibration score tracking
  • Full scenario history
Start Academy Pro →
Pro credit ($99 value) applied automatically on qualifying
Most popular
Pro
$99
per month · USD
For serious retail traders. Full arsenal, full speed, priority AI routing.
  • 350 AI analyses / 3 days
  • Everything in Academy
  • Cross-platform opportunity scanner
  • Real-time arb alerts
  • Priority Claude Sonnet routing
  • Whale wallet tracking (Helius)
  • Deep-link one-click to venues
  • Shareable trade tracking
Go Pro →
Elite
$199
per month · USD
For full-time traders. Unlimited tempo, real-time alerts, zero throttling.
  • 2,000 AI analyses per day
  • Everything in Pro
  • SMS alerts on mispricings
  • Custom watchlists + alerts
  • Beta features early access
  • Direct support channel
  • Priority Claude Opus routing
  • Custom market themes
Go Elite
Secure payment via Stripe · Cancel anytime · 14-day money-back guarantee Billed in USD · GST applies for Australian customers
§ 07 — Get in touch

Questions? Feedback?
Want early access?

Drop us a line directly, or join the waitlist for early invites as we open the terminal in small batches.

Email us directly
hello@parlayterminal.com
Questions, feedback, partnership inquiries, or press — we reply to every email.
Open in mail client →
Early access waitlist
Be first in line.
We're onboarding in small batches to keep the experience tight. Drop your email and we'll reach out when your invite is ready.
§ 08 — Questions worth asking

Straight answers.

Will Parlay make me money?
Probably not by itself. On liquid political markets, the crowd is smarter than it looks. Where Parlay has genuine edge: Solana rug detection (most retail misses obvious signals), sports arbitrage (pure math, not prediction), and compressing 90 minutes of research into 90 seconds. The best traders use Parlay to move faster and avoid obvious mistakes — not to be told what to do. Trading carries substantial risk of loss. Most retail traders lose money.
Does Parlay execute trades for me?
No. Parlay never holds your funds or places trades on your behalf. We generate deep-links with pre-filled parameters that open on the venue (Polymarket, Kalshi, your sportsbook, Jupiter). You confirm every trade in your own account, with your own wallet or credentials. This keeps you in control and keeps us legally compliant.
How is this different from ChatGPT?
ChatGPT has no idea what's happening in markets right now. Parlay is wired directly into twelve live sources — Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus, CoinGecko, DexScreener, RugCheck, Helius, The Odds API, FRED, Wikipedia, and Claude. Every analysis pulls live data, order-book depth, and fresh sentiment before Claude reasons about it. Reasoning chains are shown in full.
Why do you show the AI's reasoning chain?
Because an opaque recommendation is a gamble dressed up as advice. Every Parlay analysis shows which sources were pulled, what signals were weighted, how the verdict was reached, and what position size the math suggests. You can disagree with any step. That's the point.
What if I just want to learn?
The $19 Academy tier is built for that. Thirty lessons across eight tracks, interactive scenarios with real historical market data, and 15 AI analyses per day to practice with. Cheaper than a trading book and dramatically more practical. If you want to go further, Academy Pro ($39) includes the Qualification Challenge — pass it and earn a free month of Pro.
How does the Qualification Challenge work?
Academy Pro subscribers get access to a structured test across a curated set of real historical market scenarios. Your performance is scored using Brier scoring — the same method serious forecasters use — across three dimensions: Calibration (when you say 70%, does it happen 70% of the time?), Edge (are your directional calls right more often than wrong?), and Discipline (can you identify no-edge situations and correctly skip them?). Hit the thresholds on all three and we automatically credit your account with a full month of Pro ($99 value). No application, no coupon, no manual review — it's triggered by your scores.
Which AI model do you use?
Anthropic's Claude. Sonnet 4.7 for every analysis, Haiku 4.5 for cheap scans and scoring. Elite tier gets priority routing during peak hours. We disclose every AI-generated output clearly.
Is this financial advice?
No. Parlay provides information, analysis, and education. It is not financial advice, not an offer to trade, and not a solicitation. You make your own decisions. Read our Terms and consider whether trading suits your circumstances — most retail traders lose money.
Where are you based?
Australia. Hosted across multiple regions. GDPR-compliant. Your data is never sold. Billing records retained per AU tax law, everything else deletable on request.

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